Temporary focus on prominent voices making FIFA World Cup 2026 predictions. Full methodology and reversion plan documented in METHODOLOGY.md. Re-evaluation: 2026-08-01.
v0.9

Verify public predictions against real-world outcomes

Trackrecord.info aims to systematically compare public predictions against actual outcomes and publishes transparent accuracy metrics that reveal who truly gets it right over time.

Type a name to see matching tracked public figures. Select a suggestion or press Enter.

Live rankings

Top 3 Forecasters

Based on all resolved predictions (minimum 2). Higher Brier Index is better.

As of 2026-08-31 · Pure mean Brier backend

CO
Connor O'Halloran
Public Forecaster
Brier Index
83.5 /100
As of 2026-08-31 · n = 2
WR
Wayne Rooney
Public Forecaster
Brier Index
82.0 /100
As of 2026-08-31 · n = 2
TH
Tom Hamilton
Public Forecaster
Brier Index
81.0 /100
As of 2026-08-31 · n = 2
High-visibility predictions

Notable claims

Concrete tracked predictions drawn from the public record. Status is determined solely by primary evidence against pre-defined resolution criteria.

Micah Richards
True

“Spain will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.”

Published: June 2026 · Resolved: July 2026 Winner Spain
Chris Sutton
True

“Argentina finishes first in its group at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.”

Published: June 2026 · Resolved: July 2026 Group J Argentina
Joachim Klement
False

“Portugal defeats England in the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.”

Published: June 2026 · Resolved: July 2026 Semifinals Portugal England
View the full public record

All tracked predictions, resolution criteria, primary evidence and scores are available on the predictions page.

Open predictions →

Data source: predictions_v2.jsonl and resolved_details.jsonl (last major resolution batch 2026-07-21).

How it works

Transparent process

1
Prediction is logged
A public prediction is recorded with its source, timestamp and resolution criteria. It enters the dataset as pending.
2
Human review
A human checks that the prediction is unambiguous, has a clear time horizon and can be resolved against primary evidence.
3
Published
The prediction becomes part of the permanent public record and is visible on the site while it awaits resolution.

Full details in METHODOLOGY.md. Everything is designed for transparency and repeatability.

The mission

Most public predictions disappear without accountability

Trackrecord.info aims to create a permanent, transparent record so that everyone can see who gets it right over time. Follow along for updates and new forecasters.

We’ll only email you when we have meaningful updates.