Forecaster
WR

Wayne Rooney

Public forecaster · BBC, The Sun · As of 2026-08-31

Brier Index
82.0 /100

n = 2 resolved · Rank 3 · Raw Brier: 0.032

Latest resolution

“England and Spain will make the final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup [hosted in USA/Canada/Mexico], and England will win it.”

False

Brier Index

82.0 → 82.0 (+0.0)

Overall rank

3 → 3

Full evidence trail →

Topic overview

Knockout & winner 82.0 (1)
Other 82.0 (1)

Grouped categories with Brier Index (0–100, higher is better) and resolved count. Sample sizes remain modest.

Resolved predictions

“Ecuador is a dark horse / makes a strong run at the 2026 FIFA World Cup”

False
Published: June 2026 FIFA World

Ordered by resolution date (most recent first), then publication date. No editorial ranking applied. Sample sizes remain modest; treat scores as provisional.

Score composition

Individual Brier contribution of every resolved prediction in the overall mean (as of 20260831T180355Z · brier-1.0.0). Lower is better. Overall score is the pure mean of these values.

Prediction Brier
pred-2026-06-10-rooney-england-winner0.032
pred-2026-08-04-rooney-ecuador-is-a-dark-horse-makes-a0.032

Scores are mean Brier scores (lower is better). Only resolved predictions are included. Sample sizes remain modest for many topics; treat rankings as provisional.