“Portugal defeats England in the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup [hosted in USA/Canada/Mexico].”
Portugal and England did not meet in a semifinal. England reached the semifinals but lost to Argentina; Portugal was eliminated earlier.
| Published | 4 June 2026 |
| Resolved | 11 July 2026 |
| Stated probability | 32% |
| Brier contribution | 0.102 |
| Brier Index | 68.0 |
| Status | False |
| Prediction id | pred-2026-06-04-klement-portugal-england-sf |
| Topic |
England Performance Semifinals
|
Portugal defeats England in one of the two 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal matches, according to the official FIFA results published after the semifinals.
This resolution was performed by human examination of primary sources against the exact wording of the resolution criteria.
The resolver (Tonnis Sebo Anko Douma) takes personal responsibility for the recorded outcome.
Full methodological rules are published in the project’s
METHODOLOGY.md.
An independent audit trail is retained under
resolved_predictions/pred-2026-06-04-klement-portugal-england-sf.md.