Temporary focus on prominent voices making FIFA World Cup 2026 predictions. Full methodology and reversion plan documented in METHODOLOGY.md. Re-evaluation: 2026-08-01.
v0.9

Verify public
predictions against
real-world outcomes

Trackrecord.info aims to systematically compare public predictions against actual outcomes and publish transparent accuracy metrics that reveal who truly gets it right over time.

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Top 3 Forecasters by Accuracy

Based on all resolved predictions (minimum 10).

CS
Chris Sutton
Public Forecaster
Score
16.0 /100
(n=15)
Explore the data

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Contribute to the record

Suggest a Prediction

Spotted a public prediction worth tracking? Submit it via GitHub issue for transparent human review before publication. English texts only in current phase.

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No accounts required on this site • No data stored here • Reviewed before adding to predictions.jsonl

How it works

A transparent, human-reviewed process

1
Public prediction is made
A forecaster shares a clear, falsifiable prediction publicly (on X, in media, podcasts, or official forecasts) with a verifiable source and time horizon.
2
Logged & prepared
Trackrecord.info records the prediction with source, timestamp, and resolution criteria. It is added to the public dataset as “Pending – Resolution-ready”.
3
Human review
Every submission and resolution is reviewed by humans for verifiability, independence, and adherence to the methodology before publication.
4
Outcome resolved
On or after the expected date, a human reviewer confirms the actual result from primary/official sources and records it with rationale.
5
Scored & published
A transparent 0–100 accuracy score is calculated. Reports and forecaster metrics update automatically and remain permanently public.

Full details in METHODOLOGY.md. Everything is designed for transparency and repeatability.

Most public predictions disappear without accountability

Trackrecord.info aims to create a permanent, transparent record so that everyone can see who gets it right over time. Follow along for updates and new forecasters.

We’ll only email you when we have meaningful updates.