Forecaster
WS

Wesley Sneijder

Public forecaster · Express · As of 2026-08-31

Brier Index
40.5 /100

n = 2 resolved · Rank 23 · Raw Brier: 0.354

Latest resolution

“World Cup 2026 winner is one of: Portugal, Spain, France, Brazil”

True

Brier Index

39.0 → 40.5 (+1.5)

Overall rank

23 → 23

Full evidence trail →

Topic overview

Knockout & winner 40.5 (2)

Grouped categories with Brier Index (0–100, higher is better) and resolved count. Sample sizes remain modest.

Resolved predictions

“Netherlands does not reach semi-finals (semifinalists: Portugal, Spain, France, Brazil)”

True
Published: December 2025 · Resolved: July 2026 Semi-finals

Ordered by resolution date (most recent first), then publication date. No editorial ranking applied. Sample sizes remain modest; treat scores as provisional.

Score composition

Individual Brier contribution of every resolved prediction in the overall mean (as of 20260831T180355Z · brier-1.0.0). Lower is better. Overall score is the pure mean of these values.

Prediction Brier
pred-2025-12-06-sneijder-winner-restricted0.336
pred-2025-12-06-sneijder-nl-no-semifinal0.372

Scores are mean Brier scores (lower is better). Only resolved predictions are included. Sample sizes remain modest for many topics; treat rankings as provisional.