“Netherlands does not reach semi-finals (semifinalists: Portugal, Spain, France, Brazil)”
Netherlands did not reach the semifinals (eliminated in Round of 32), as shown by the official FIFA knockout bracket.
Brier Index
42.0 → 40.5 (-1.5)
Raw Brier
0.336 → 0.354
Overall rank
23 → 23
Public prediction by former Netherlands international Wesley Sneijder published in Express.co.uk. Clear and specific claim about tournament progression.
Netherlands does not appear among the four teams in the FIFA World Cup 2026 semifinals, according to the official FIFA knockout bracket published after the quarterfinals.
This resolution was performed by human examination of primary sources against the exact wording of the resolution criteria. The resolver (Tonnis Sebo Anko Douma) takes personal responsibility for the recorded outcome. Full methodological rules are published in the project’s METHODOLOGY.md.
| Published | 6 December 2025 |
| Resolved | 10 July 2026 |
| Stated probability | 39% |
| Brier contribution | 0.372 |
| Brier Index (this prediction) | 39.0 |
| Prediction id | pred-2025-12-06-sneijder-nl-no-semifinal |
| Topic |
Netherlands Performance Semifinals
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