“World Cup 2026 winner is one of: Portugal, Spain, France, Brazil”
Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup (beat Argentina in the final). Spain was one of the four teams listed in the prediction.
Brier Index
39.0 → 40.5 (+1.5)
Raw Brier
0.372 → 0.354
Overall rank
23 → 23
Public prediction by former Netherlands international Wesley Sneijder published in Express.co.uk. Restricts possible winners to four teams.
The winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is one of Portugal, Spain, France, or Brazil, as determined by the official FIFA final match result.
This resolution was performed by human examination of primary sources against the exact wording of the resolution criteria. The resolver (Tonnis Sebo Anko Douma) takes personal responsibility for the recorded outcome. Full methodological rules are published in the project’s METHODOLOGY.md.
| Published | 6 December 2025 |
| Resolved | 19 July 2026 |
| Stated probability | 42% |
| Brier contribution | 0.336 |
| Brier Index (this prediction) | 42.0 |
| Prediction id | pred-2025-12-06-sneijder-winner-restricted |
| Topic |
Winner
|