Joe Mewis
Public forecaster · Yahoo Sports · As of 2026-08-31
Latest resolution
“Norway reaches the knockout stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup [hosted in USA/Canada/Mexico; first appearance since 1998 with golden generation].”
TrueBrier Index
33.8 → 30.7 (-3.1)
Overall rank
27 → 28
Topic overview
Grouped categories with Brier Index (0–100, higher is better) and resolved count. Sample sizes remain modest.
Resolved predictions
“Sweden has the chance to surge into the final stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup [under Graham Potter with Gyokeres and Isak].”
True“Ecuador is more than capable of getting out of its group and matching its 2006 run to the last 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup [tough, hard…”
False“Mexico will trouble teams in the second half of the 2026 FIFA World Cup tournament [as host nation with recent form].”
TrueOrdered by resolution date (most recent first), then publication date. No editorial ranking applied. Sample sizes remain modest; treat scores as provisional.
Score composition
Individual Brier contribution of every resolved prediction in the overall mean (as of 20260831T180355Z · brier-1.0.0). Lower is better. Overall score is the pure mean of these values.
| Prediction | Brier |
|---|---|
| pred-2026-06-08-mewis-ecuador-2006 | 0.078 |
| pred-2026-06-08-mewis-mexico-trouble | 0.562 |
| pred-2026-06-08-mewis-norway-deep | 0.608 |
| pred-2026-06-08-mewis-sweden-surge | 0.672 |
Scores are mean Brier scores (lower is better). Only resolved predictions are included. Sample sizes remain modest for many topics; treat rankings as provisional.