“France beats Paraguay 5-0 in the last-16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup”
France beat Paraguay 1-0 in the Round of 16 (official scoreline was not 5-0).
Brier Index
61.8 → 62.0 (+0.2)
Raw Brier
0.146 → 0.144
Overall rank
15 → 15
Public prediction by Sutton, Chris published in BBC Sport. Clear, testable claim about the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
The claim is a clear directional statement. No numerical odds were given by the forecaster. A probability of 0.30 reflects moderate confidence consistent with similar qualitative predictions in the dataset.
The official FIFA match result for Paraguay vs France in the Round of 16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is France winning 5-0.
This resolution was performed by human examination of primary sources against the exact wording of the resolution criteria. The resolver (Tonnis Sebo Anko Douma) takes personal responsibility for the recorded outcome. Full methodological rules are published in the project’s METHODOLOGY.md.
| Published | 4 July 2026 |
| Logged | 4 August 2026 |
| Resolved | — |
| Stated probability | 30% |
| Brier contribution | 0.090 |
| Brier Index (this prediction) | 70.0 |
| Prediction id | pred-2026-08-04-sutton-france-beats-paraguay-5-0-in-the |
| Archived source | View archive link |