“Sweden will draw with Tunisia 1-1 in their World Cup 2026 Group F match [Monterrey, 15 June 2026].”
Actual: Sweden 5-1 Tunisia. Correct winner only. Derived accuracy: 50/100.
Brier Index
61.8 → 62.0 (+0.2)
Raw Brier
0.146 → 0.144
Overall rank
15 → 15
Score prediction by BBC Sport expert Chris Sutton.
The final score is exactly 1-1.
This resolution was performed by human examination of primary sources against the exact wording of the resolution criteria. The resolver (Tonnis Sebo Anko Douma) takes personal responsibility for the recorded outcome. Full methodological rules are published in the project’s METHODOLOGY.md.
| Published | 10 June 2026 |
| Logged | 30 June 2026 |
| Resolved | 30 June 2026 |
| Stated probability | 29% |
| Brier contribution | 0.084 |
| Brier Index (this prediction) | 71.0 |
| Prediction id | pred-2026-06-10-sutton-swe-tun-1-1 |
| Topic |
Group Stage Match Result [Sweden vs Tunisia]
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