“Mexico will beat South Africa 1-0 in their opening World Cup 2026 Group A match [Mexico City, 11 June 2026].”
Official result: Mexico 2-0 South Africa. Exact 1-0 criteria not met. Correct winner: Mexico. Derived accuracy: 70/100.
Brier Index
61.9 → 62.0 (+0.2)
Raw Brier
0.145 → 0.144
Overall rank
15 → 15
Score prediction by BBC Sport expert Chris Sutton in pre-tournament article published 10 June 2026.
The final score of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group A match between Mexico and South Africa on 2026-06-11 is exactly 1-0 according to official FIFA result.
This resolution was performed by human examination of primary sources against the exact wording of the resolution criteria. The resolver (Tonnis Sebo Anko Douma) takes personal responsibility for the recorded outcome. Full methodological rules are published in the project’s METHODOLOGY.md.
| Published | 10 June 2026 |
| Logged | 30 June 2026 |
| Resolved | 30 June 2026 |
| Stated probability | 32% |
| Brier contribution | 0.102 |
| Brier Index (this prediction) | 68.0 |
| Prediction id | pred-2026-06-10-sutton-mex-sa-1-0 |
| Topic |
Group Stage Match Result [Mexico vs South Africa]
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