Forecaster
GL

Gary Lineker

Public forecaster · BBC · As of 2026-08-31

Brier Index
20.0 /100

n = 2 resolved · Rank 32 · Raw Brier: 0.640

Latest resolution

“Spain wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup”

True

Brier Index

20.0 → 20.0 (+0.0)

Overall rank

32 → 32

Full evidence trail →

Topic overview

Knockout & winner 20.0 (2)

Grouped categories with Brier Index (0–100, higher is better) and resolved count. Sample sizes remain modest.

Resolved predictions

“Spain wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup”

True
Published: June 2026 Winner

Ordered by resolution date (most recent first), then publication date. No editorial ranking applied. Sample sizes remain modest; treat scores as provisional.

Score composition

Individual Brier contribution of every resolved prediction in the overall mean (as of 20260831T180355Z · brier-1.0.0). Lower is better. Overall score is the pure mean of these values.

Prediction Brier
pred-2026-08-04-lineker-spain-wins-the-2026-fifa-world-c0.640
pred-2026-08-04-lineker-spain-wins-the-2026-fifa-world-c-20.640

Scores are mean Brier scores (lower is better). Only resolved predictions are included. Sample sizes remain modest for many topics; treat rankings as provisional.