Forecaster
FC

Finley Crebolder

Public forecaster · Clockwork Oranje · As of 2026-08-31

Brier Index
48.0 /100

n = 1 resolved · Rank 20 · Raw Brier: 0.270

Latest resolution

“Netherlands has strong chances in Group F but faces tough knockout path”

True

Brier Index

— → 48.0 (—)

Overall rank

— → 20

Full evidence trail →

Topic overview

Group stage 48.0 (1)

Grouped categories with Brier Index (0–100, higher is better) and resolved count. Sample sizes remain modest.

Resolved predictions

No predictions recorded.

Ordered by resolution date (most recent first), then publication date. No editorial ranking applied. Sample sizes remain modest; treat scores as provisional.

Score composition

Individual Brier contribution of every resolved prediction in the overall mean (as of 20260831T180355Z · brier-1.0.0). Lower is better. Overall score is the pure mean of these values.

Prediction Brier
pred-2026-05-21-crebolder-nl-groupf0.270

Scores are mean Brier scores (lower is better). Only resolved predictions are included. Sample sizes remain modest for many topics; treat rankings as provisional.