Model-based forecast by economist Joachim Klement (correctly predicted 2014/2018/2022 winners) as reported in ESPN article by Adriana Garcia. Published 2026-06-04. High-visibility due to author's documented track record and non-consensus path.

The four teams reaching the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup are exactly Netherlands, Spain, Portugal and England, as determined by the official FIFA knockout bracket published after the quarterfinals.

This resolution was performed by human examination of primary sources against the exact wording of the resolution criteria. The resolver (Tonnis Sebo Anko Douma) takes personal responsibility for the recorded outcome. Full methodological rules are published in the project’s METHODOLOGY.md.